Grove Transport Economics

Consulting on Transport Issues, Projects, Programs and Opportunities

Grove Road Sutton Surrey UK, viewed from the town end, around 1928

About
Grove Transport Economics

At Grove, we combine transport economic analysis, policy understanding, a multi-modal knowledge base and research strength to advise on complex transport issues, projects, programs and opportunities. We also collaborate, to assemble the range of capabilities each assignment calls for.

Director Phil Potterton is former head of the Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Research Economics, in a 30-year Commonwealth and Northern Territory public service career. Phil has been co-director of advisory firm Economic Connections, alongside Dr Anthony Ockwell. Phil was previously also the Canberra Strategy & Economics Lead at professional services firm GHD. At the 44th Australasian Transport Research Forum in 2023, Phil was awarded the John H Taplin Best Paper Prize for his paper: What policy rationales can underpin high speed, fast and improved passenger rail in Australia?

Grove Transport Economics’ service offering spans:

  • Cost-benefit analysis

  • Safety and emissions analysis

  • Policy and strategy development

  • Transport mode and service analysis

Services and Experience

Grove - “a small wood or plantation of trees”

Pictured are the trees outside Deweys, the music shop Phil’s grandfather managed in Grove Road, Sutton, Surrey outside London. The trees were gone by the late 1950s - Phil’s earliest memories. But the shop, a department store of a kind, was still kicking goals, even if time was soon to be called on it too. There were musical instruments and sheet music as well as vinyl records with, in the window, a neon-lit Top 20 billboard, changed each week. And on the first floor, music tuition. Four lines of business, all related and all offering quality service, with lasting impacts for customers.

Publications

Research Papers

Estimating net benefits of high speed rail: How fit for purpose is Australia’s economic appraisal guidance?

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Auckland, November 2025

The paper identifies additions and changes to Australia’s transport economic appraisal guidance to enable more accurate assessment of the net benefits of high speed rail projects. These include: valuing travel time savings under mode switching and over distance; valuing capacity relief in affected modes; assessing inter-urban productivity impacts; valuing housing welfare impacts in newly ‘commutable’ locations; aligning the appraisal period with the investment length of life; adoption of a social rate of time preference discount rate-setting approach, replacing today’s social opportunity cost of capital conception; and improved alignment of project strategic and economic cases.

2025


What transport problems can high speed rail address and what opportunities can it enable? A route geography approach

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Melbourne, November 2024

The transport problems that high speed rail can solve and the opportunities (economic, social, environmental) it can enable in today’s legislated Brisbane-Sydney-Melbourne corridor vary according to four distinct route geographies, the paper contends. The route geographies are: major capital city to major capital – the longest, largely air-reliant; major capital to the end point of frequent but slow rail service: major capital to between that end point and up to 350 kilometres - less frequent rail service and in the aviation rain shadow; and major capital to 350-450 kilometres distant, where air service is available, but is more costly and less frequent than on routes between major capitals.

2024


What policy rationales can underpin high speed, fast and improved passenger rail in Australia?

Winner John H Taplin Prize for Best Paper, Australasian Transport Research Forum, Perth, November 2023

Six ‘candidate’ policy rationales that may support and sustain investment over time in different forms of upgraded long distance passenger rail are explored, in the context of the improvement in travel time, journey quality and journey affordability that upgrades might offer. These are: building better business productivity; population growth rebalancing; supporting near capital city regional centres that sit under the ‘aviation rain shadow’; future-proofing convenient intercity access to the centres of major capitals; assisting net zero emission transport; and a better integrated national rail network.

2023

Beyond the inner ring: air, coach and train services to regional centres further from state capitals

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Adelaide, September 2022

Drawing on service information supported by interviews with regional councils, the paper examines the adequacy of long distance public transport – and the car option – for centres located 200 kilometres or more from state capital cities. Distance bands are developed of: 200 to 350 kilometres, where most centres have neither air nor other fast public transport, but distances are driveable for other than day return/short stay business purposes; 350 to 1000 kilometres, where air service is costly but available and distances are driveable for some trip purposes; and above 1000 kilometres, where air fares are highest and distances are less driveable in other than recreational contexts.


2022


Australia’s long distance train and coach services: international comparisons

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Brisbane, December 2021

Using a set of service indicators, Australia’s long distance passenger train and coach services are compared with those of 11 countries that are ‘similar’ in having either large land area, high per capita income, or both. Comparison countries also do not have a high speed rail network.

2021


Profiling Australia’s interstate passenger train, coach and ferry services

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Canberra, September 2019

The paper profiles non-air public transport services on 35 interstate corridors. The service indicators used are route (road distance), weekly return services, intermediate stops per 100 kilometres, average end to end service speeds and average fare per 100 kilometres. Patronage information, where available, is also included.

2019


Australian shipping policy: what drives or constrains success?

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Melbourne, November 2016

Two areas of Australian shipping policy, liner regulation and Tasmania freight equalisation, have achieved solid outcomes over decades, with support across the political spectrum for the higher level objectives of, respectively, economic growth through trade and federal fiscal equalisation. Since the 1990s, in the absence of clear or accepted policy objectives for Australia’s coastal and international shipping industries, outcomes have been less satisfactory.

2016


30 years of Australian transport policy: what makes for success?

Australasian Transport Research Forum, Perth, September 2012

This paper examines Australian transport policy effectiveness in aviation and airports, the road network, road safety, road freight, rail freight and urban public transport, referencing available indicators of growth and productivity. With the length  of time needed to achieve and maintain outcomes and transport’s ‘derived demand’ character, policy success is found to be linked to articulation and acceptance of a higher level non-transport policy goal, eg the economy or public health.

2012


Submissions

Submission on the Aviation Green Paper

November 2023

Responding to questions raised in the Green Paper, the submission noted the importance of distinguishing high traffic air routes to major regional tourism centres from the bulk of capital city-regional centre routes and the relevance to airline competition outcomes on any route of other transport modes and distance from a capital city. The submission included tables on: air and other mode services for regional centres between 100 and 350 kilometres from a capital city; regional air fares and the average number of air operators per route by distance band (200-349 km, 350-999 km, 1000 km and above); and domestic passenger load factors for different air route types.

2023

Submissions to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Infrastructure, Transport and Cities inquiry into options for financing faster rail (Nos 27 and 27.1)

December 2019 and July 2020, Phil and Anthony

The first submission identified some key economic benefits of faster rail projects. On the premise that sole private funding of faster rail projects may be unlikely other than where a private party also has ownership of adjoining land for development, it recommended additions to the Australian Transport Planning and Assessment guidelines to better accommodate these benefits. An appendix provided service statistics (frequencies, service times and speeds by mode) for regional centres within a radius of 400 kilometres of each of Australia’s eight capital cities.

A supplementary submission, drafted after giving evidence at hearings, outlined approaches that could be applied to capturing land value gains on privately held land, or are otherwise helpful for part-funding faster rail infrastructure: betterment levies; voluntary beneficiary contributions; local rates supplements; ‘rail plus property’ development; and development impact fees for the cost of new infrastructure and services that result from the increased rail demand.

2019


Productivity Commission inquiry into the regulation of Australian Agriculture – draft report

July 2016

The submission provided information on efficiency improvement in the Australian shipping industry, compared to the 1980s and 1990s. It argued that, in addition to policy objectives for Australian shipping policy acknowledged in the commission’s draft report of cost-competitiveness for shippers and regulatory simplicity and certainty, a third objective is important to ensure the domestic industry’s future: an internationally competitive taxation regime for both ship owners and seafarers.

2016


Journalism

A high speed rail network will unlock economic opportunities

Australian High Speed Rail Association website (blog), 21 March 2024

2024

Fast rail and high speed rail solve different problems for Australia’s regions

Canberra Times, 16 July 2020, with Anthony Ockwell

The case for fast rail from Canberra to Sydney

Canberra Times, 7 May 2020, with Anthony Ockwell

2020

2020

It’s time to renovate Australian shipping policy

Sydney Morning Herald, 8 November 2016

2016

Low density is no barrier to public transport

Canberra Times, 20 August 2015

2015